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Epidemiological characteristics of reported sporadic and outbreak cases of E. coli O157 in people from Alberta, Canada (2000–2002): methodological challenges of comparing clustered to unclustered data

机译:加拿大艾伯塔省2000年至2002年间报告的O157大肠杆菌零星和爆发病例的流行病学特征:比较聚类数据和非聚类数据的方法学挑战

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摘要

Using multivariable models, we compared whether there were significant differences between reported outbreak and sporadic cases in terms of their sex, age, and mode and site of disease transmission. We also determined the potential role of administrative, temporal, and spatial factors within these models. We compared a variety of approaches to account for clustering of cases in outbreaks including weighted logistic regression, random effects models, general estimating equations, robust variance estimates, and the random selection of one case from each outbreak. Age and mode of transmission were the only epidemiologically and statistically significant covariates in our final models using the above approaches. Weighing observations in a logistic regression model by the inverse of their outbreak size appeared to be a relatively robust and valid means for modelling these data. Some analytical techniques, designed to account for clustering, had difficulty converging or producing realistic measures of association.
机译:使用多变量模型,我们比较了报告的暴发和零星病例在性别,年龄,疾病传播方式和部位方面是否存在显着差异。我们还确定了这些模型中管理,时间和空间因素的潜在作用。我们比较了多种方法来解释暴发病例的聚类情况,包括加权逻辑回归,随机效应模型,一般估计方程,稳健方差估计以及从每次暴发中随机选择一个病例的方法。在我们使用上述方法的最终模型中,年龄和传播方式是唯一的流行病学和统计学上显着的协变量。在Logistic回归模型中按爆发大小的倒数称量观测值似乎是对这些数据进行建模的相对健壮和有效的方法。旨在解释聚类的某些分析技术难以收敛或无法产生现实的关联度量。

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